Skilled Migration and Scientific and Technical Potential of Regional Labour Markets: Evidence from the Kyrgyz Republic
Abstract
The purpose of this study was to substantiate a model for the adaptive regulation of the regional labour market aimed at preserving scientific and technical potential under conditions of increasing migration mobility. The research drew upon official statistical data for 2020–2024, a comparative analysis of regional funding for educational programmes and graduate employment outcomes, and an assessment of the extent to which qualified personnel were covered by digital verification tools.
The findings revealed marked interregional disparities. Bishkek recorded the highest level of funding (KGS 164.2 million) and the largest share of employed graduates (61.4%). In contrast, the Talas and Batken regions demonstrated significantly lower indicators: funding did not exceed KGS 31.5 million and KGS 38.9 million, respectively, while graduate employment remained at 34.5% and 36.8%. The average growth rate of digitally verified qualifications also varied substantially, ranging from 23.2% to 78.5% across regions. Bishkek again showed the highest increase, whereas Batken reached only 42.5%.
In response to these disparities, the study proposed a conceptual model integrating four key components: regional human resource forecasting, digital certification of qualifications, institutional mechanisms to stimulate mobility and return migration, and the development of knowledge transfer infrastructure. This model provides a structured framework for enhancing regional employment policy by improving the efficiency of investments in human capital and supporting the digital transformation of managerial decision-making.
The results of the study may be utilised by public authorities of the Kyrgyz Republic, regional vocational education centres, and analytical units in designing employment strategies and optimising budgetary interventions aimed at strengthening scientific and technical capacity in the context of ongoing migration dynamics.
Keywords
Digital Verification, Interregional Differences, Personnel Policy, Demographic Factors, Institutional Capacities, Experience Indexation, Kyrgyz Republic
Author Biography
Dilbara Amanturova
Dilbara Amanturova holds a Master of Sciences degree and is a Senior Lecturer at the Kyrgyz State Academy of Physical Culture and Sports named after B. T. Turusbekov in Bishkek. The research information provided for her includes work on conceptual approaches to modernising state policy in the labour market of the Kyrgyz Republic. This topic places her scholarly interests within the study of labour-market governance, public policy, and socio-economic modernisation. Alongside her teaching responsibilities, her academic profile reflects attention to policy mechanisms that shape employment, workforce development, and the adaptation of labour systems to changing economic conditions.
Lyailya Kabylbayeva
Lyailya Kabylbayeva holds a Master of Science degree and works as a Senior Lecturer at the International University of Transportation and Humanities in Almaty. Her listed research addresses human capital mobility and the influence of migration on economic and technological progress. This focus connects labour mobility with broader questions of development, innovation, and the movement of knowledge and skills across regions. Her academic profile lies at the intersection of human capital studies, migration, economics, and technological change. Through her university role, she contributes to teaching and scholarly activity concerned with contemporary socio-economic processes and their implications for institutional and regional development.
Chinara Amanturova
Chinara Amanturova holds a PhD in Economics and is an Associate Professor at Issyk-Kul State University named after K. Tynystanov in Karakol. Her research profile covers public policy, regional and agricultural economics, resource management, and sustainable development. The works listed in the source materials examine agritourism as a direction of the green economy, state regulation of the agricultural sector, efficient and balanced use of water resources, public-debt reduction, energy security, regional investment potential, and the economic efficiency of grain production. She has also studied land and water use in relation to meteorological conditions in the Issyk-Kul region. Her scholarship reflects a sustained interest in economic policy and the management of strategic regional resources.
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